GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Utah State a 68% chance.
SeriesColorado State leads 40–38–2 · Colorado State won the last meeting, 42–37 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USU
Home-field edge USU
Model projection USU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Colorado State @ Utah State
Your sims:Sims: USU 0, CSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Colorado State
Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)
Lvs Air Force42–21Lat Boise State49–21Lat New Mexico20–17Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)Utah State
Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)
Lvs Washington State34–21Lvs Boise State25–24Wat Fresno State28–17Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Colorado State vs Utah State Stats ComparisonCSU vs Utah State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Colorado StateCSU | Utah StateUSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5#124 | PPG | 30.9#35 |
| 30.8#113 | PA/G | 28.7#90 |
| 324.2#117 | YDS/G | 409.8#40 |
| 215.9#86 | PASS/G | 246.9#48 |
| 108.2#120 | RUSH/G | 162.9#62 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#24 |
| 32.9%#122 | 3RD DOWN | 34.5%#111 |
| 0.12#94 | OFF PPA | 0.20#41 |
| 0.24#118 | DEF PPA | 0.20#101 |
| 39.8%#103 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.1%#83 |
| 44.9%#119 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.7%#90 |
| 39.6% | RET PROD | 65.2% |
| 1.21#86 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.35#17 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| -11.6 | SP+ | -7.9 |
| -12.4#118 | FPI | -6.7#92 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Maverik StadiumLocationLogan, UT
Capacity25,513
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation4,685 ft
FAN NEWS
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