GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDRutgersRUTG2–4·B1G
Penn StatePSU3–4·B1G
RUTG radioRutgers Sports Network
PSU radioPenn State Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Penn State a 87% chance.
SeriesPenn State leads 33–2 · Penn State won the last meeting, 40–36 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) PSU
Home-field edge PSU
Model projection PSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Rutgers @ Penn State
Your sims:Sims: PSU 0, RUTG 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Rutgers vs Penn State Stats ComparisonRutgers vs Penn State Stats Comparison
| RutgersRUTG | Penn StatePSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.2#58 | PPG | 28.7#74 |
| 31.8#119 | PA/G | 18.9#31 |
| 403.8#61 | YDS/G | 384.1#75 |
| 265.8#35 | PASS/G | 253.4#47 |
| 138#98 | RUSH/G | 130.7#109 |
| 6#57 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 41.9%#58 | 3RD DOWN | 36.2%#102 |
| 0.15#69 | OFF PPA | 0.12#83 |
| 0.22#124 | DEF PPA | 0.06#67 |
| 45.4%#48 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.6%#86 |
| 45.5%#119 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.3%#53 |
| 44.4% | RET PROD | 7.6% |
| 1.32#25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#84 |
| 1390 | ELO | 1800 |
| −5#121 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| -5.3 | SP+ | 9.6 |
| -3.1#83 | FPI | 11.7#28 |
| -6.3 | SRS | 4.9 |
THE VENUE
Beaver StadiumLocationUniversity Park, PA
Capacity106,572
SurfaceGrass
Opened1960
Elevation1,162 ft
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