GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDNIU radioHuskie Sports Radio Network
GAST radioPanther Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NIU
Home-field edge GAST
Model projection NIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Illinois @ Georgia St
Your sims:Sims: GAST 0, NIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)
Lvs Kent State35–31Lvs Western Michigan35–19Wat Massachusetts45–3Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Illinois vs Georgia State Stats ComparisonNIU vs GAST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Northern IllinoisNIU | Georgia StateGAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1#129 | PPG | 19.8#119 |
| 24.3#64 | PA/G | 37.8#133 |
| 284.4#133 | YDS/G | 378.2#77 |
| 98.8#134 | PASS/G | 254.4#38 |
| 185.6#29 | RUSH/G | 123.8#107 |
| 4.6#129 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 31.8%#129 | 3RD DOWN | 38.6%#83 |
| 0.05#125 | OFF PPA | 0.13#91 |
| 0.19#89 | DEF PPA | 0.28#133 |
| 34.7%#131 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.4%#95 |
| 44.4%#109 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2%#125 |
| 43.7% | RET PROD | 46.5% |
| 1.24#64 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#61 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | −11#127 |
| -17.2 | SP+ | -29.3 |
| -14.5#125 | FPI | -15.2#127 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Center Parc StadiumLocationAtlanta, GA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation942 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 4 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
