GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·MichiganMICH0–0·B1G
Ohio StateOSU0–0·B1G
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Ohio State opens a 13.5-point favorite. Our model gives Ohio State a 80% chance.
SeriesMichigan leads 62–53–6 · Ohio State won the last meeting, 27–9 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge OSU
Market lean OSU
Model projection OSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Michigan @ Ohio State
Your sims:Sims: OSU 0, MICH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMICH +13.5OSU −13.5
TOTALOver 46.5Under 46.5
MONEYLINEMICH +425OSU −575
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Michigan vs Ohio State Stats ComparisonMichigan vs Ohio State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MichiganMICH | Ohio StateOSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.5#69 | PPG | 33.4#21 |
| 20.4#29 | PA/G | 9.3#1 |
| 397.9#58 | YDS/G | 423#26 |
| 186.8#107 | PASS/G | 268.2#23 |
| 211.2#14 | RUSH/G | 154.8#74 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 43.6%#32 | 3RD DOWN | 52.6%#3 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.20#47 | OFF PPA | 0.33#7 |
| 45.5%#32 | OFF SUCCESS | 53.2%#1 |
| 41.8%#70 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.8%#12 |
| 69.2% | RET PROD | 68.3% |
| 1.14#129 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#124 |
| 17.0 | SP+ | 32.7 |
| 15.9#15 | FPI | 28.7#1 |
| 0.11#52 | DEF PPA | -0.01#5 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ohio StadiumLocationColumbus, OH
Capacity102,780
SurfaceTurf
Opened1922
Elevation711 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
