GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·HoustonHOU6–1·B12
ColoradoCOLO2–4·B12
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Houston a 79% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Houston won the last meeting, 36–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) HOU
Home-field edge COLO
Model projection HOU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Houston @ Colorado
Your sims:Sims: COLO 0, HOU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Houston vs Colorado Stats ComparisonHouston vs Colorado Stats Comparison
| HoustonHOU | ColoradoCOLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.3#12 | PPG | 19.5#123 |
| 21#45 | PA/G | 25.7#88 |
| 485.1#10 | YDS/G | 394.2#66 |
| 264.7#36 | PASS/G | 253.8#46 |
| 220.4#16 | RUSH/G | 140.3#95 |
| 6.8#13 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#97 |
| 61.4%#1 | 3RD DOWN | 36.1%#104 |
| 0.36#2 | OFF PPA | 0.00#121 |
| 54.6%#1 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.3%#110 |
| 41.0%#75 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.5%#42 |
| 81.2% | RET PROD | 13.7% |
| 1.11#127 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#88 |
| 1610 | ELO | 1353 |
| 14.8#18 | FPI | 1.0#63 |
| +5#15 | TO MARGIN | −6#128 |
| 0.12#88 | DEF PPA | -0.01#33 |
| 15.2 | SP+ | -2.4 |
| 17.6 | SRS | -0.5 |
THE VENUE
Folsom FieldLocationBoulder, CO
Capacity50,183
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation5,361 ft
FAN NEWS
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