GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·ArkansasARK0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Arkansas a 82% chance.
SeriesArkansas leads 51–16–2 · Arkansas won the last meeting, 23–0 · 2018
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARK
Home-field edge ARK
Model projection ARK
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Tulsa @ Arkansas
Your sims:Sims: ARK 0, TLSA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Tulsa vs Arkansas Stats ComparisonTulsa vs Arkansas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TulsaTLSA | ArkansasARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.2#100 | PPG | 32.9#23 |
| 28.9#94 | PA/G | 33.8#129 |
| 398.5#57 | YDS/G | 455.1#14 |
| 222.5#71 | PASS/G | 262.9#30 |
| 176#48 | RUSH/G | 192.2#28 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 7#5 |
| 37.9%#88 | 3RD DOWN | 47.2%#15 |
| 0.11#99 | OFF PPA | 0.30#13 |
| 0.15#68 | DEF PPA | 0.25#123 |
| 40.5%#93 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.7%#11 |
| 42.5%#84 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.0%#124 |
| 41.3% | RET PROD | 14.5% |
| 1.26#52 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#23 |
| −8#117 | TO MARGIN | −11#127 |
| -6.1 | SP+ | 5.6 |
| -9.0#105 | FPI | 4.4#47 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Razorback StadiumLocationFayetteville, AR
Capacity80,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1938
Elevation1,325 ft
FAN NEWS
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