GAME DAY
Week 7 · TBDWMU radioBronco Radio Network
CMU radioChippewa Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Michigan a 63% chance.
SeriesCentral Michigan leads 32–27–1 · Western Michigan won the last meeting, 24–21 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
CMU win
37% One-score game
38%
37% One-score game
38%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WMU
Home-field edge CMU
Model projection WMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan
Your sims:Sims: CMU 0, WMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Western Michigan
Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)
Wvs Kennesaw State41–6Wvs Miami (OH)23–13Wat Eastern Michigan31–21Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)Central Michigan
Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)
Lvs Northwestern34–7Lvs Toledo21–3Wat Kent State28–16Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Western Michigan vs Central Michigan Stats ComparisonWMU vs CMU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Western MichiganWMU | Central MichiganCMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9#88 | PPG | 22.5#105 |
| 17.4#9 | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| 343#103 | YDS/G | 332.2#112 |
| 138.5#130 | PASS/G | 167.1#118 |
| 204.5#16 | RUSH/G | 165.1#59 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 40.3%#62 | 3RD DOWN | 34.1%#115 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| 0.10#106 | OFF PPA | 0.14#88 |
| 0.05#17 | DEF PPA | 0.08#32 |
| 42.3%#69 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#91 |
| 37.5%#23 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.3%#51 |
| 99.7% | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| 1.05#136 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| -6.0 | SP+ | -15.1 |
| -4.0#82 | FPI | -12.8#120 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Kelly/Shorts StadiumLocationMount Pleasant, MI
Capacity30,255
SurfaceTurf
Opened1972
Elevation790 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Western Michigan or Central Michigan?
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