GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Gardner-WebbGWEB–
LibertyLIB0–0·CUSA
StreamingESPN+
LIB radioLiberty Flames Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Liberty a 94% chance.
SeriesLiberty leads 10–4 · Liberty won the last meeting, 21–20 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LIB
Home-field edge LIB
Model projection LIB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Gardner-Webb @ Liberty
Your sims:Sims: LIB 0, GWEB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Liberty
Liberty2025: 4–8 (3–5 CUSA)
Lvs Kennesaw State48–42 (OT)Lat Louisiana Tech34–28 (OT)Lat Florida International34–27 (OT)Liberty2025: 4–8 (3–5 CUSA)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
- Liberty84%
- Gardner-Webb16%
CFB Vibes ModelLIB 94%MarketLIB 84%
Market 10 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $450 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Gardner-Webb vs Liberty Stats ComparisonGardner-Webb vs Liberty Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Gardner-WebbGWEB | LibertyLIB | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 25.6#83 |
| – | PA/G | 26.5#76 |
| – | YDS/G | 388.5#70 |
| – | PASS/G | 195.5#101 |
| – | RUSH/G | 193#26 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 40.1%#65 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.17#67 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.20#105 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 43.5%#51 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 41.5%#68 |
| – | RET PROD | 38.3% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#92 |
| – | SP+ | -5.3 |
| – | FPI | -7.7#96 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Williams Stadium (VA)LocationLynchburg, VA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1989
Elevation895 ft
FAN NEWS
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