GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Gardner-Webb a 65% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Gardner-Webb won the last meeting, 21–12 · 2019
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
GWEB win
65% One-score game
35%
65% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) GWEB
Home-field edge GWEB
Model projection GWEB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Carolina Central @ Gardner-Webb
Your sims:Sims: GWEB 0, NCCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelNCCU 35%MarketNCCU 49%
Market 14 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $0 traded · as of Sep 9, 9:04 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Carolina Central vs Gardner-Webb Stats ComparisonNCCU vs Gardner-Webb Stats Comparison
2026 stats| North Carolina CentralNCCU | Gardner-WebbGWEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5 | PPG | 15 |
| 24 | PA/G | 26 |
| 323.5 | YDS/G | 391 |
| 145.5 | PASS/G | 345 |
| 178 | RUSH/G | 46 |
| 4.8 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2 |
| 40.0% | 3RD DOWN | 34.5% |
| 0.05 | OFF PPA | 0.07 |
| 0.20 | DEF PPA | 0.12 |
| 41.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.6% |
| 38.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 36.0% |
| 1.17 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.12 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ernest W. Spangler StadiumLocationBoiling Springs, NC
Capacity9,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation831 ft
FAN NEWS
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