GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDSHSU radioBearkat Sports Network
TTU radioRed Raider Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Texas Tech a 99% chance.
SeriesTexas Tech leads 2–0 · Texas Tech won the last meeting, 59–45 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TTU
Home-field edge TTU
Model projection TTU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Sam Houston @ Texas Tech
Your sims:Sims: TTU 0, SHSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Sam Houston
Sam Houston2025: 2–10 (1–7 CUSA)
Lvs Florida International56–16Lat Middle Tennessee31–17Wvs Delaware26–23Sam Houston2025: 2–10 (1–7 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Sam Houston vs Texas Tech Stats ComparisonSam Houston vs Texas Tech Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Sam HoustonSHSU | Texas TechTTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.8#127 | PPG | 39.4#7 |
| 37.8#133 | PA/G | 11.8#3 |
| 316.8#121 | YDS/G | 461.6#10 |
| 184#110 | PASS/G | 277.6#17 |
| 132.8#98 | RUSH/G | 184#31 |
| 5#117 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#24 |
| 22.2%#136 | 3RD DOWN | 49.3%#12 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +14#4 |
| 0.00#132 | OFF PPA | 0.25#23 |
| 36.3%#125 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.7%#50 |
| 47.9%#130 | DEF SUCCESS | 31.5%#3 |
| 57.7% | RET PROD | 53.4% |
| 1.25#56 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#30 |
| 0.24#118 | DEF PPA | -0.07#2 |
| -26.0 | SP+ | 21.8 |
| -18.4#136 | FPI | 20.0#10 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jones AT&T StadiumLocationLubbock, TX
Capacity60,454
SurfaceTurf
Opened1947
Elevation3,218 ft
FAN NEWS
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