GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·ASU radioSun Devil Radio Network
BYU radioNu Skin BYU Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives BYU a 91% chance.
SeriesArizona State leads 21–8 · Arizona State won the last meeting, 28–23 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BYU
Home-field edge BYU
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arizona State @ BYU
Your sims:Sims: BYU 0, ASU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelBYU 91%MarketBYU 88%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $658 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:00 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arizona State vs BYU Stats ComparisonASU vs BYU Stats Comparison
| Arizona StateASU | BYUBYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.3#56 | PPG | 33.5#40 |
| 32#120 | PA/G | 15.2#14 |
| 420.3#49 | YDS/G | 421.2#48 |
| 276.7#23 | PASS/G | 214.5#88 |
| 143.7#88 | RUSH/G | 206.7#25 |
| 6.2#50 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#14 |
| 30.8%#130 | 3RD DOWN | 56.5%#3 |
| 0.05#107 | OFF PPA | 0.28#19 |
| 43.8%#64 | OFF SUCCESS | 50.9%#8 |
| 41.3%#81 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.2%#27 |
| 15.5% | RET PROD | 78.5% |
| 1.23#73 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#98 |
| 1435 | ELO | 1740 |
| 3.6 | SP+ | 21.5 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 0.12#92 | DEF PPA | -0.01#35 |
| -1.3#75 | FPI | 17.4#14 |
| -3.9 | SRS | 18.1 |
THE VENUE
LaVell Edwards StadiumLocationProvo, UT
Capacity63,470
SurfaceGrass
Opened1964
Elevation4,633 ft
FAN NEWS
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