GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·East Tennessee StateETSU–
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Carolina a 98% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
East Tennessee State
11
UNC win
98% One-score game
5%
98% One-score game
5%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNC
Home-field edge UNC
Model projection UNC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Tennessee St @ North Carolina
Your sims:Sims: UNC 0, ETSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Carolina
North Carolina2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs TCU15–10North Carolina2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Tennessee State vs North Carolina Stats ComparisonETSU vs UNC Stats Comparison
| East Tennessee StateETSU | North CarolinaUNC | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 15 |
| – | PA/G | 10 |
| – | YDS/G | 322 |
| – | PASS/G | 232 |
| – | RUSH/G | 90 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 27.3% |
| – | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.11 |
| – | DEF PPA | -0.05 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 46.6% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 33.3% |
| – | RET PROD | 27.8% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 0.92 |
| – | SP+ | 3.5 |
| – | FPI | 4.9#42 |
THE VENUE
Kenan StadiumLocationChapel Hill, NC
Capacity50,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1927
Elevation419 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about East Tennessee State or North Carolina?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
