GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·Eastern IllinoisEIU–
MinnesotaMINN0–0·B1G
StreamingPeacock
MINN radioGopher Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Minnesota opens a 42.5-point favorite. Our model gives Minnesota a 99% chance.
SeriesMinnesota leads 1–0 · Minnesota won the last meeting, 42–20 · 2014
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Eastern Illinois
9
MINN win
99% One-score game
4% Cover MINN −42.5
35%
99% One-score game
4% Cover MINN −42.5
35%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge MINN
Market lean MINN
Model projection MINN
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Eastern Illinois @ Minnesota
Your sims:Sims: MINN 0, EIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Eastern IllinoisEastern Illinois2025: 0–1
Lat Alabama56–0Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Minnesota99%- Eastern Illinois1%
CFB Vibes ModelMINN 99%MarketMINN 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $126,915 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADEIU +42.5MINN −42.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Eastern Illinois vs Minnesota Stats ComparisonEIU vs Minnesota Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Eastern IllinoisEIU | MinnesotaMINN | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 23#101 |
| – | PA/G | 22.9#50 |
| – | YDS/G | 293.4#129 |
| – | PASS/G | 189.9#102 |
| – | RUSH/G | 103.5#129 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 40.1%#65 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.10#105 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.15#69 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 39.9%#100 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#84 |
| – | RET PROD | 64.9% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#125 |
| – | SP+ | 6.2 |
| – | FPI | 0.6#63 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Huntington Bank StadiumLocationMinneapolis, MN
Capacity50,850
SurfaceTurf
Opened2009
Elevation835 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
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