GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·NichollsNICH–
StreamingESPN+
KSU radioWildcat Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Kansas State opens a 40.5-point favorite. Our model gives Kansas State a 99% chance.
SeriesKansas State leads 1–0 · Kansas State won the last meeting, 49–14 · 2019
What's driving the model
Home-field edge KSU
Market lean KSU
Model projection KSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Nicholls @ Kansas State
Your sims:Sims: KSU 0, NICH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADNICH +40.5KSU −40.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Nicholls vs Kansas State Stats ComparisonNicholls vs Kansas State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NichollsNICH | Kansas StateKSU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 29.4#52 |
| – | PA/G | 26.7#79 |
| – | YDS/G | 370.6#83 |
| – | PASS/G | 198.3#97 |
| – | RUSH/G | 172.2#53 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 36.9%#94 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +11#8 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.21#37 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.12#56 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#91 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 39.4%#45 |
| – | RET PROD | 71.4% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.41#6 |
| – | SP+ | 9.2 |
| – | FPI | 5.1#41 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Bill Snyder Family StadiumLocationManhattan, KS
Capacity50,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation1,076 ft
FAN NEWS
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