North Dakota State @ New Mexico, Week 8 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 8 · ·

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives New Mexico a 64% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
UNM 64% NDSU 36%
PROJECTED FINAL
UNM win
64%
One-score game
37%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SP+) UNM
Home-field edge UNM
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Dakota State @ New Mexico

Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, NDSU 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

North Dakota State vs New Mexico Stats ComparisonNDSU vs New Mexico Stats Comparison

North Dakota StateNDSUNew MexicoUNM
33PPG
7PA/G
373YDS/G
35.7%3RD DOWN

THE VENUE

University Stadium (NM)
LocationAlbuquerque, NM
Capacity39,224
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation5,100 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 8 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#9@#5
#6@#16
#8@#13
#23@#21
TBD
CFB VIBES MODELUTAH 66% to win
#2@
@#7
#10@
#11@
CFB VIBES MODELLSU 62% to win