GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Illinois StateILST–
StreamingMW+
NIU radioHuskie Sports Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Illinois a 81% chance.
SeriesNorthern Illinois leads 10–4 · Northern Illinois won the last meeting, 24–10 · 2019
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NIU
Home-field edge NIU
Model projection NIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois St @ Northern Illinois
Your sims:Sims: NIU 0, ILST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Illinois StateIllinois State2025: 1–2
Wat North Dakota State29–28Lvs North Dakota State33–16Lat Oklahoma35–3Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)
Lvs Kent State35–31Lvs Western Michigan35–19Wat Massachusetts45–3Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Illinois State vs Northern Illinois Stats ComparisonILST vs NIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Illinois StateILST | Northern IllinoisNIU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 17.1#129 |
| – | PA/G | 24.3#64 |
| – | YDS/G | 284.4#133 |
| – | PASS/G | 98.8#134 |
| – | RUSH/G | 185.6#29 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 31.8%#129 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.05#125 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.19#89 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 34.7%#131 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 44.4%#109 |
| – | RET PROD | 43.7% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| – | SP+ | -17.2 |
| – | FPI | -14.5#125 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Huskie StadiumLocationDeKalb, IL
Capacity23,595
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation877 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Illinois State or Northern Illinois?
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