Alabama State @ Troy, Week 2 · 2026
ALST@
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingESPN+
TROY radioTroy Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Troy a 92% chance.
SeriesTroy leads 2–0 · Troy won the last meeting, 34–7 · 2017
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TROY
Home-field edge TROY
Model projection TROY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Alabama State @ Troy
Your sims:Sims: TROY 0, ALST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Alabama StateAlabama State2025: 0–1
Lat UAB52–42Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Troy vs Alabama State Stats ComparisonTroy vs ALST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TroyTROY | Alabama StateALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5#95 | PPG | – |
| 23.9#58 | PA/G | – |
| 307.2#124 | YDS/G | – |
| 209.2#90 | PASS/G | – |
| 98#131 | RUSH/G | – |
| 4.6#129 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 38.8%#80 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +0#72 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.08#113 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.11#50 | DEF PPA | – |
| 37.9%#117 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 39.6%#47 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 35.3% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.30#40 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -8.0 | SP+ | – |
| -7.4#95 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)LocationTroy, AL
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation508 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Troy?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
