Arkansas @ Utah, Week 2 · 2026
@#21
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·ArkansasARK0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Home-field edge UTAH
Market lean UTAH
Model projection UTAH
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Arkansas @ Utah
Your sims:Sims: UTAH 0, ARK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelUTAH 73%MarketUTAH 75%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $1,662 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUTAH −9.5ARK +9.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINEUTAH −380ARK +300
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Utah vs Arkansas Stats ComparisonUtah vs Arkansas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UtahUTAH | ArkansasARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 41.3#4 | PPG | 32.9#23 |
| 18.9#17 | PA/G | 33.8#129 |
| 483.2#4 | YDS/G | 455.1#14 |
| 216.6#82 | PASS/G | 262.9#30 |
| 266.5#2 | RUSH/G | 192.2#28 |
| 6.6#18 | YDS/PLAY | 7#5 |
| 52.9%#2 | 3RD DOWN | 47.2%#15 |
| 0.35#3 | OFF PPA | 0.30#13 |
| 0.07#24 | DEF PPA | 0.25#123 |
| 49.5%#6 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.7%#11 |
| 38.1%#31 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.0%#124 |
| 67.9% | RET PROD | 14.5% |
| 1.25#59 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#23 |
| 9.8 | SP+ | 5.6 |
| 8.5#31 | FPI | 4.4#47 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | −11#127 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rice-Eccles StadiumLocationSalt Lake City, UT
Capacity51,444
SurfaceTurf
Opened1998
Elevation4,631 ft
FAN NEWS
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