Buffalo @ Florida International, Week 2 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingESPN+
FIU radioPanther Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWhat's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BUF
Home-field edge FIU
Model projection FIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Buffalo @ Florida International
Your sims:Sims: FIU 0, BUF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida International
Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs UTSA57–20Wvs Sam Houston56–16Wvs Jacksonville State27–21Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Buffalo50%
CFB Vibes ModelBUF 44%MarketBUF 50%
Market 6 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $1 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida International vs Buffalo Stats ComparisonFIU vs Buffalo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Florida InternationalFIU | BuffaloBUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5#61 | PPG | 24#93 |
| 30#105 | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| 397#59 | YDS/G | 362.2#85 |
| 215.4#87 | PASS/G | 229#64 |
| 181.6#36 | RUSH/G | 133.2#97 |
| 5.6#74 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 35.8%#103 | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| 0.16#78 | OFF PPA | 0.08#113 |
| 0.15#66 | DEF PPA | 0.11#48 |
| 40.7%#89 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.6%#106 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| 1.31#35 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#114 |
| +0#72 | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| 31.6% | RET PROD | -0.8% |
| -14.5 | SP+ | -12.7 |
| -12.6#119 | FPI | -10.8#113 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pitbull StadiumLocationMiami, FL
Capacity20,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1995
Elevation20 ft
FAN NEWS
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