Dayton @ Eastern Kentucky, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+
DAY radioFlyer Radio Network / WHIO
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) EKU
Home-field edge EKU
Model projection EKU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Dayton @ Eastern Kentucky
Your sims:Sims: DAY 0, EKU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelEKU 72%MarketEKU 42%
Market 30 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $0 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Dayton vs Eastern Kentucky Stats ComparisonDayton vs EKU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| DaytonDAY | Eastern KentuckyEKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | PPG | 14 |
| 20 | PA/G | 47 |
| 437 | YDS/G | 327.5 |
| 186 | PASS/G | 197.5 |
| 251 | RUSH/G | 130 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5 |
| 27.3% | 3RD DOWN | 33.3% |
| 0.17 | OFF PPA | 0.05 |
| 0.10 | DEF PPA | 0.39 |
| 38.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 38.0% |
| 35.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 48.6% |
| 1.31 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36 |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Roy Kidd StadiumLocationRichmond, KY
Capacity20,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation978 ft
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