GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Iowa a 59% chance.
SeriesNorthern Iowa leads 4–0 · Northern Iowa won the last meeting, 45–14 · 2013
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: UNI 0, DRKE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Northern Iowa80%
Drake21%
Market 21 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $1,385 traded · as of Sep 9, 9:04 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Drake vs Northern Iowa Stats ComparisonDrake vs UNI Stats Comparison
2026 stats| DrakeDRKE | Northern IowaUNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5 | PPG | 24 |
| 41.5 | PA/G | 34 |
| 428 | YDS/G | 350 |
| 393.5 | PASS/G | 287 |
| 34.5 | RUSH/G | 63 |
| 5.4 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 29.0% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.05 | OFF PPA | 0.15 |
| 0.25 | DEF PPA | 0.35 |
| 41.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.0% |
| 50.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 52.8% |
| 1.08 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
UNI-DomeFAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Drake or Northern Iowa?
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