GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Incarnate Word a 83% chance.
SeriesIncarnate Word leads 11–0 · Incarnate Word won the last meeting, 31–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: UIW 0, HCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Market 20 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $141 traded · as of Sep 9, 9:04 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Houston Christian vs Incarnate Word Stats ComparisonHCU vs UIW Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Houston ChristianHCU | Incarnate WordUIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | PPG | – |
| 29.5 | PA/G | – |
| 302.5 | YDS/G | – |
| 148 | PASS/G | – |
| 154.5 | RUSH/G | – |
| 5.1 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 44.4% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.05 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.21 | DEF PPA | – |
| 32.2% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 47.2% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 1.37 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Gayle and Tom Benson StadiumFAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Houston Christian or Incarnate Word?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
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