Louisiana @ USC, Week 2 · 2026
@#14
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·LouisianaUL0–0·SBC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USC
Home-field edge USC
Model projection USC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Louisiana @ USC
Your sims:Sims: UL 0, USC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3USC
USC2026: 1–0 (0–0 B1G)
Wvs San José State42–26USC2026: 1–0 (0–0 B1G)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelUSC 98%MarketUSC 93%
Market 5 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $2,842 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Louisiana vs USC Stats ComparisonLouisiana vs USC Stats Comparison
2025 stats| LouisianaUL | USCUSC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26#80 | PPG | 35.8#13 |
| 29.2#96 | PA/G | 23#51 |
| 344.1#101 | YDS/G | 465.2#8 |
| 161.2#123 | PASS/G | 296#5 |
| 182.9#34 | RUSH/G | 169.2#56 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 7.2#3 |
| 40.6%#59 | 3RD DOWN | 51.3%#5 |
| 0.11#98 | OFF PPA | 0.34#4 |
| 0.20#100 | DEF PPA | 0.15#64 |
| 38.5%#114 | OFF SUCCESS | 49.0%#8 |
| 46.2%#125 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8%#115 |
| 91.9% | RET PROD | 59.2% |
| 1.20#95 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#21 |
| −1#77 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -10.6 | SP+ | 17.7 |
| -8.3#99 | FPI | 17.0#13 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial ColiseumLocationLos Angeles, CA
Capacity77,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1923
Elevation139 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Louisiana?
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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
