Middle Tennessee @ Marshall, Week 2 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingESPN+
MRSH radioHerd Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Marshall a 91% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 5–5 · Marshall won the last meeting, 42–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MRSH
Home-field edge MRSH
Model projection MRSH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: MRSH 0, MTSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Marshall
Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern24–19Lat App State26–24Wat Georgia State30–18Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee2025: 3–9 (2–6 CUSA)
Wat New Mexico State31–24 (OT)Wvs Sam Houston31–17Lat Western Kentucky42–26Middle Tennessee2025: 3–9 (2–6 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Marshall vs Middle Tennessee Stats ComparisonMarshall vs MTSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MarshallMRSH | Middle TennesseeMTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8#37 | PPG | 22.4#107 |
| 30.2#106 | PA/G | 30.9#115 |
| 406.1#47 | YDS/G | 371#82 |
| 207.9#91 | PASS/G | 264.9#28 |
| 198.2#21 | RUSH/G | 106.1#121 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 35.2%#106 | 3RD DOWN | 37.1%#93 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 0.16#72 | OFF PPA | 0.14#85 |
| 0.16#73 | DEF PPA | 0.21#111 |
| 43.9%#47 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.2%#70 |
| 38.6%#35 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.1%#104 |
| 98.8% | RET PROD | 32.5% |
| 1.13#130 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#78 |
| -8.2 | SP+ | -26.5 |
| -8.8#104 | FPI | -16.1#130 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
FAN NEWS
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