Missouri @ Kansas, Week 2 · 2026
#25
@
@GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·MissouriMIZ0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Missouri opens a 7-point favorite. Our model gives Missouri a 68% chance.
SeriesMissouri leads 55–48–8 · Missouri won the last meeting, 42–31 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge KU
Market lean MIZ
Model projection MIZ
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Missouri @ Kansas
Your sims:Sims: MIZ 0, KU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMIZ 68%MarketMIZ 69%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $4,367 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMIZ −7KU +7
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEMIZ −238KU +195
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Missouri vs Kansas Stats ComparisonMissouri vs Kansas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MissouriMIZ | KansasKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2#44 | PPG | 28.1#62 |
| 18.9#17 | PA/G | 26.8#80 |
| 416.8#31 | YDS/G | 389.8#68 |
| 188.4#104 | PASS/G | 220#78 |
| 228.5#8 | RUSH/G | 169.8#55 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 44.9%#29 | 3RD DOWN | 38.9%#79 |
| 0.21#35 | OFF PPA | 0.21#34 |
| 0.03#10 | DEF PPA | 0.24#117 |
| 45.4%#34 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.9%#13 |
| 34.9%#7 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.2%#62 |
| 42.0% | RET PROD | 18.1% |
| 1.22#75 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#128 |
| 15.4 | SP+ | 3.3 |
| 12.2#21 | FPI | 2.8#55 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationLawrence, KS
Capacity47,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1921
Elevation902 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Missouri?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
