Morehead State @ Western Illinois, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Morehead State a 28% chance.
SeriesWestern Illinois leads 1–0 · Western Illinois won the last meeting, 31–6 · 2006
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) WIU
Home-field edge WIU
Model projection WIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Morehead St @ Western Illinois
Your sims:Sims: MORE 0, WIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Morehead State vs Western Illinois Stats ComparisonMORE vs WIU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Morehead StateMORE | Western IllinoisWIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5 | PPG | 37.5 |
| 33 | PA/G | 27.5 |
| 302 | YDS/G | 427 |
| 203 | PASS/G | 240.5 |
| 99 | RUSH/G | 186.5 |
| 9.2 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2 |
| 69.2% | 3RD DOWN | 46.4% |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.57 | OFF PPA | 0.24 |
| 0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.14 |
| 52.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.5% |
| 37.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 37.0% |
| 1.77 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hanson FieldLocationMacomb, IL
Capacity16,368
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation633 ft
FAN NEWS
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