Navy @ Florida Atlantic, Week 2 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Navy a 58% chance.
SeriesNavy leads 3–0 · Navy won the last meeting, 42–32 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NAVY
Home-field edge FAU
Model projection NAVY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Navy @ Florida Atlantic
Your sims:Sims: NAVY 0, FAU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)
Lvs East Carolina42–3Lvs UConn48–45Lat Tulane35–24Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Navy76%- Florida Atlantic46%
CFB Vibes ModelNAVY 58%MarketNAVY 76%
Market 18 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $29 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Navy vs Florida Atlantic Stats ComparisonNavy vs FAU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NavyNAVY | Florida AtlanticFAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.5#30 | PPG | 29.5#49 |
| 25#69 | PA/G | 36.3#131 |
| 416.1#33 | YDS/G | 445.7#22 |
| 130#133 | PASS/G | 340.5#1 |
| 286.1#1 | RUSH/G | 105.2#123 |
| 6.6#18 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 51.8%#4 | 3RD DOWN | 36.8%#96 |
| 0.30#15 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.21#110 | DEF PPA | 0.22#113 |
| 49.0%#8 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.3%#98 |
| 40.4%#54 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.7%#99 |
| 13.8% | RET PROD | 68.4% |
| 1.24#64 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40#7 |
| +1#66 | TO MARGIN | −21#136 |
| 1.2 | SP+ | -6.1 |
| -0.7#69 | FPI | -11.3#115 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
FAU StadiumLocationBoca Raton, FL
Capacity29,419
SurfaceTurf
Opened2011
Elevation12 ft
FAN NEWS
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