Oregon @ Oklahoma State, Week 2 · 2026
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@GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oklahoma State opens a 18.5-point underdog. Our model gives Oklahoma State a 13% chance.
SeriesOregon leads 2–0 · Oregon won the last meeting, 69–3 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge OKST
Market lean ORE
Model projection ORE
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Oregon @ Oklahoma State
Your sims:Sims: OKST 0, ORE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADOKST +18.5ORE −18.5
TOTALOver 60.5Under 60.5
MONEYLINEOKST +750ORE −1200
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Oklahoma State vs Oregon Stats ComparisonOKST vs Oregon Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Oklahoma StateOKST | OregonORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.2#134 | PPG | 36.9#10 |
| 33.3#126 | PA/G | 17.9#12 |
| 292.5#130 | YDS/G | 452.2#17 |
| 174.1#116 | PASS/G | 253.6#39 |
| 118.4#114 | RUSH/G | 198.6#20 |
| 4.6#129 | YDS/PLAY | 6.9#8 |
| 34.8%#108 | 3RD DOWN | 46.5%#18 |
| 0.26#126 | DEF PPA | 0.04#13 |
| 34.2%#133 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.4%#16 |
| 44.2%#106 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.4%#15 |
| 1.17#111 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#20 |
| 6.9 | SP+ | 29.2 |
| 3.3#54 | FPI | 25.3#4 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| -0.01#135 | OFF PPA | 0.30#12 |
| 0.0% | RET PROD | 75.3% |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Boone Pickens StadiumLocationStillwater, OK
Capacity55,509
SurfaceTurf
Opened1919
Elevation907 ft
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