Stetson at UC Davis: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

Stetson Vibes

GAME DAY

Week 3 · Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM PDT7:00 PM PDT

StetsonSTET–

UC DavisUCD–

StreamingESPN+

STET radioHatters Radio Network

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Stetson a 3% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

UCD 97% STET 3%

PROJECTED FINAL

UC Davis

Stetson

STET win
3% One-score game
8%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge UCD

Model projection UCD

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around a league-typical total.

Stetson @ UC Davis

Your sims:Sims: STET 0, UCD 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

UC Davis

2025: 0–1

Lat Washington70–10

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

UC Davis96%
Stetson5%

CFB Vibes ModelUCD 97%MarketUCD 96%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $9,854 traded · as of Sep 9, 9:49 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Stetson vs UC Davis Stats ComparisonStetson vs UC Davis Stats Comparison

2026 stats

StetsonSTET		UC DavisUCD
26	PPG	40
40	PA/G	20.5
382.5	YDS/G	455.5
237.5	PASS/G	296.5
145	RUSH/G	159
6.1	YDS/PLAY	6.9
50.0%	3RD DOWN	48.0%
0.12	OFF PPA	0.24
0.32	DEF PPA	0.04
40.8%	OFF SUCCESS	49.6%
45.6%	DEF SUCCESS	39.4%
1.36	EXPLOSIVE	1.18
−1	TO MARGIN	+2

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Aggie Stadium

LocationDavis, CA

Capacity10,743

SurfaceTurf

Opened2007

Elevation37 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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