Stony Brook @ Ball State, Week 2 · 2026
STBK@
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Stony BrookSTBK–
StreamingESPN+
BALL radioCardinal Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Ball State a 65% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BALL
Home-field edge BALL
Model projection BALL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Stony Brook @ Ball State
Your sims:Sims: BALL 0, STBK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Stony BrookStony Brook2025: 0–1
Lat San Diego State42–0Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ball State vs Stony Brook Stats ComparisonBall State vs Stony Brook Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Ball StateBALL | Stony BrookSTBK | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8#132 | PPG | – |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | – |
| 271.7#134 | YDS/G | – |
| 138#131 | PASS/G | – |
| 133.7#96 | RUSH/G | – |
| 4.5#133 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 33.5%#119 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | – |
| -0.00#133 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | – |
| 32.5%#136 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 44.7%#113 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 5.7% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.32#29 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -25.1 | SP+ | – |
| -17.3#134 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Scheumann StadiumLocationMuncie, IN
Capacity22,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1967
Elevation937 ft
FAN NEWS
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