Villanova at Louisville: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

ACC · Week 1

AKR @ WAKEThu, Sep 3 · 7:00 PM EDTACC Network COLO @ GTThu, Sep 3 · 8:00 PM EDTESPN MIA @ STANFri, Sep 4 · 6:00 PM PDTESPN UNH @ SYRSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTACC Network M-OH @ PITTSat, Sep 5 · 12:30 PM EDTThe CW TULN @ DUKESat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTACC Network BC @ CINSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTFOX VMI @ VTSat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM EDTACC Network CLEM @ LSUSat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDTABC UCLA @ CALSat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM PDTESPN SMU @ FSUMon, Sep 7 · 7:30 PM EDTESPN

All scores

VILL@#24

GAME DAY

Week 2 · Fri, Sep 11 · 7:00 PM EDT7:00 PM EDT

VillanovaVILL–

LouisvilleLOU0–0·ACC

TVACC Network

StreamingESPN App

LOU radioCardinal Sports Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Louisville a 99% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

LOU 99% VILL 1%

PROJECTED FINAL

Louisville

Villanova

LOU win
99% One-score game
2%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SP+) LOU

Home-field edge LOU

Model projection LOU

Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.

Villanova @ Louisville

Your sims:Sims: LOU 0, VILL 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Louisville

2025: 9–4 (4–4 ACC)

Wvs Toledo27–22 Wvs Kentucky41–0 Lat SMU38–6

Villanova2025: 0–1

Lat Penn State52–6

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

Louisville92%
Villanova8%

CFB Vibes ModelLOU 99%MarketLOU 92%

Market 7 points lower than our model

Kalshi · $1,109 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Louisville vs Villanova Stats ComparisonLouisville vs Villanova Stats Comparison

2025 stats

LouisvilleLOU		VillanovaVILL
29.9#46	PPG	–
21.2#38	PA/G	–
384.6#72	YDS/G	–
220.6#76	PASS/G	–
164#61	RUSH/G	–
6#38	YDS/PLAY	–
35.3%#105	3RD DOWN	–
+3#46	TO MARGIN	–
0.15#80	OFF PPA	–
0.06#20	DEF PPA	–
45.1%#37	OFF SUCCESS	–
36.4%#15	DEF SUCCESS	–
34.8%	RET PROD	–
1.20#97	EXPLOSIVE	–
11.1	SP+	–
9.5#27	FPI	–

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

LocationLouisville, KY

Capacity60,000

SurfaceTurf

Opened1998

Elevation455 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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