Yale @ Holy Cross, Week 3 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 3 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Holy Cross a 38% chance.

SeriesYale leads 7–5 · Yale won the last meeting, 28–10 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
YALE 62% HC 38%
PROJECTED FINAL
HC win
38%
One-score game
35%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) YALE
Home-field edge HC
Model projection YALE
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Yale @ Holy Cross

Your sims:Sims: HC 0, YALE 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Yale83%
  2. Holy Cross15%
CFB Vibes ModelYALE 62%MarketYALE 83%

Market 21 points higher than our model

Kalshi · $17 traded · as of Sep 9, 8:19 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Holy Cross vs Yale Stats ComparisonHoly Cross vs Yale Stats Comparison

2026 stats
Holy CrossHCYaleYALE
10PPG
35PA/G
360.5YDS/G
38.1%3RD DOWN

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Fitton Field
LocationWorcester, MA
Capacity23,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation451 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#8@#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 53% to win
#22@#13
CFB VIBES MODELTTU 80% to win
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CFB VIBES MODELLOU 55% to win
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CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
#2@
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 86% to win
75Games in Week 3Full schedule →