Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Week 7 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·UAPB radioLion Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Arkansas-Pine Bluff a 21% chance.
SeriesAlabama State leads 9–2 · Alabama State won the last meeting, 44–13 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
UAPB win
21% One-score game
27%
21% One-score game
27%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ALST
Home-field edge UAPB
Model projection ALST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Alabama St @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Your sims:Sims: UAPB 0, ALST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Alabama State Stats ComparisonUAPB vs ALST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Arkansas-Pine BluffUAPB | Alabama StateALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.5 | PPG | 32 |
| 34.5 | PA/G | 8.5 |
| 292 | YDS/G | 314.5 |
| 170.5 | PASS/G | 160 |
| 121.5 | RUSH/G | 154.5 |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5 |
| 20.0% | 3RD DOWN | 30.4% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| 0.18 | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| 0.28 | DEF PPA | 0.03 |
| 34.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.3% |
| 50.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 32.1% |
| 1.75 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Golden Lion StadiumLocationPine Bluff, AR
Capacity16,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2000
Elevation222 ft
FAN NEWS
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