App State @ East Carolina, Week 2 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 81% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 8–5 · App State won the last meeting, 21–19 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ECU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
App State @ East Carolina
Your sims:Sims: ECU 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)App State
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern29–10Lvs Arkansas State30–29Wvs Marshall26–24App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Carolina vs App State Stats ComparisonECU vs App State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| East CarolinaECU | App StateAPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7#24 | PPG | 24.2#91 |
| 20.1#25 | PA/G | 29.8#101 |
| 449#19 | YDS/G | 384.9#71 |
| 272.7#21 | PASS/G | 256.5#34 |
| 176.3#46 | RUSH/G | 128.4#102 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 47.2%#15 | 3RD DOWN | 32.8%#123 |
| 0.19#49 | OFF PPA | 0.10#107 |
| 0.05#16 | DEF PPA | 0.18#86 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.9%#86 |
| 37.6%#24 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8%#115 |
| 13.6% | RET PROD | 37.9% |
| 1.16#118 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19#104 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | -12.7 |
| -0.6#68 | FPI | -9.8#109 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Dowdy-Ficklen StadiumLocationGreenville, NC
Capacity50,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1963
Elevation63 ft
FAN NEWS
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