Arizona @ BYU, Week 2 · 2026
@#14
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·ArizonaARIZ0–0·B12
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Arizona a 28% chance.
SeriesBYU leads 14–12–1 · BYU won the last meeting, 33–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BYU
Home-field edge BYU
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arizona @ BYU
Your sims:Sims: ARIZ 0, BYU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelBYU 72%MarketBYU 70%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $125 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arizona vs BYU Stats ComparisonArizona vs BYU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| ArizonaARIZ | BYUBYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.5#30 | PPG | 31.4#32 |
| 19.3#21 | PA/G | 19.1#19 |
| 407.9#42 | YDS/G | 400.3#55 |
| 255.2#36 | PASS/G | 221.1#74 |
| 152.7#75 | RUSH/G | 179.1#39 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 41.0%#53 | 3RD DOWN | 41.4%#49 |
| +18#2 | TO MARGIN | +8#18 |
| 0.17#67 | OFF PPA | 0.22#33 |
| 0.07#25 | DEF PPA | 0.06#22 |
| 42.6%#66 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.0%#27 |
| 37.9%#27 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.5%#33 |
| 64.9% | RET PROD | 78.5% |
| 1.26#51 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#106 |
| 9.5 | SP+ | 14.9 |
| 7.2#34 | FPI | 13.1#20 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
LaVell Edwards StadiumLocationProvo, UT
Capacity63,470
SurfaceGrass
Opened1964
Elevation4,633 ft
FAN NEWS
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