Baylor @ Arizona State, Week 5 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDASU radioSun Devil Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Arizona State a 62% chance.
SeriesArizona State leads 2–0 · Arizona State won the last meeting, 27–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ASU
Home-field edge ASU
Model projection ASU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Baylor @ Arizona State
Your sims:Sims: ASU 0, BAY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arizona State vs Baylor Stats ComparisonASU vs Baylor Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Arizona StateASU | BaylorBAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.8#81 | PPG | 31.1#33 |
| 24.5#65 | PA/G | 32.6#122 |
| 416.6#32 | YDS/G | 451.2#18 |
| 223.7#69 | PASS/G | 309.6#4 |
| 192.9#27 | RUSH/G | 141.6#83 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 32.6%#125 | 3RD DOWN | 37.8%#89 |
| 0.13#89 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 0.10#44 | DEF PPA | 0.17#82 |
| 39.8%#103 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.7%#41 |
| 40.8%#58 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.7%#99 |
| 15.5% | RET PROD | 60.2% |
| 1.27#49 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#43 |
| 4.9 | SP+ | 3.8 |
| 4.8#44 | FPI | 6.5#37 |
| −6#108 | TO MARGIN | −13#133 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Mountain America StadiumLocationTempe, AZ
Capacity65,870
SurfaceGrass
Opened1958
Elevation1,182 ft
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