Brown @ New Haven, Week 3 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 3 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Brown a 66% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
BRWN 66% NHVN 34%
PROJECTED FINAL
BRWN win
66%
One-score game
34%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) BRWN
Home-field edge NHVN
Model projection BRWN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Brown @ New Haven

Your sims:Sims: BRWN 0, NHVN 0

Market-implied win probability

  1. Brown74%
  2. New Haven16%
CFB Vibes ModelBRWN 66%MarketBRWN 74%

Market 8 points higher than our model

Kalshi · $53 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Brown vs New Haven Stats ComparisonBrown vs New Haven Stats Comparison

2026 stats
BrownBRWNNew HavenNHVN
PPG12.5
PA/G21
YDS/G356.5
3RD DOWN28.6%

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium
LocationWest Haven, CT
Capacity5,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2009
Elevation23 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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75Games in Week 3Full schedule →