Brown @ New Haven, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·NHVN radioNew Haven Chargers Radio
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) BRWN
Home-field edge NHVN
Model projection BRWN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Brown @ New Haven
Your sims:Sims: NHVN 0, BRWN 0
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelBRWN 66%MarketBRWN 74%
Market 8 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $53 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Haven vs Brown Stats ComparisonNew Haven vs Brown Stats Comparison
2026 stats| New HavenNHVN | BrownBRWN | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.5 | PPG | – |
| 21 | PA/G | – |
| 356.5 | YDS/G | – |
| 242 | PASS/G | – |
| 114.5 | RUSH/G | – |
| 5.4 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 28.6% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | – |
| -0.11 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.01 | DEF PPA | – |
| 36.6% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 33.6% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 1.14 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ralph F. DellaCamera StadiumLocationWest Haven, CT
Capacity5,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2009
Elevation23 ft
FAN NEWS
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