Wagner @ James Madison, Week 2 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 2 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

James Madison opens a 45.5-point favorite. Our model gives James Madison a 99% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
JMU 99% WAG 1%
PROJECTED FINAL
JMU win
99%
One-score game
4%
Cover JMU −45.5
29%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge JMU
Market lean JMU
Model projection JMU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Wagner @ James Madison

Your sims:Sims: JMU 0, WAG 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. James Madison99%
  2. Wagner1%
CFB Vibes ModelJMU 99%MarketJMU 99%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $71,002 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

SPREADWAG +45.5JMU −45.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Wagner vs James Madison Stats ComparisonWagner vs JMU Stats Comparison

WagnerWAGJames MadisonJMU
19PPG20
17.5PA/G13
253YDS/G291
22.6%3RD DOWN40.0%
ELO1776

THE VENUE

Bridgeforth Stadium
LocationHarrisonburg, VA
Capacity24,877
SurfaceTurf
Opened1975
Elevation1,310 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#1@#4
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 55% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
SEC NetworkSIM NOW →
@#3
CFB VIBES MODELND 99% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#6@
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
86Games in Week 2Full schedule →