Buffalo @ Penn State, Week 3 · 2026
@#18
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·BuffaloBUF0–0·MAC
Penn StatePSU0–0·B1G
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Buffalo a 2% chance.
SeriesPenn State leads 3–1 · Penn State won the last meeting, 45–13 · 2019
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) PSU
Home-field edge PSU
Model projection PSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Buffalo @ Penn State
Your sims:Sims: BUF 0, PSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Buffalo vs Penn State Stats ComparisonBuffalo vs Penn State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| BuffaloBUF | Penn StatePSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24#93 | PPG | 31#34 |
| 23.5#54 | PA/G | 20.5#30 |
| 362.2#85 | YDS/G | 362#86 |
| 229#64 | PASS/G | 187.6#105 |
| 133.2#97 | RUSH/G | 174.4#50 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 35.8%#103 | 3RD DOWN | 43.6%#32 |
| 0.08#113 | OFF PPA | 0.23#30 |
| 0.11#48 | DEF PPA | 0.10#45 |
| 39.6%#106 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.2%#25 |
| 38.8%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.9%#59 |
| 1.17#114 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#101 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| -0.8% | RET PROD | 7.6% |
| -12.7 | SP+ | 16.2 |
| -10.8#113 | FPI | 13.7#17 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Beaver StadiumLocationUniversity Park, PA
Capacity106,572
SurfaceGrass
Opened1960
Elevation1,162 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Buffalo?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 3 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
