Central Connecticut @ Montana State, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+ / Scripps Sports
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
CCSU win
8% One-score game
16%
8% One-score game
16%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MTST
Home-field edge MTST
Model projection MTST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Connecticut @ Montana St
Your sims:Sims: CCSU 0, MTST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Central Connecticut vs Montana State Stats ComparisonCCSU vs MTST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Central ConnecticutCCSU | Montana StateMTST | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | PPG | 52.5 |
| 59 | PA/G | 12 |
| 250 | YDS/G | 472.5 |
| 115 | PASS/G | 319.5 |
| 135 | RUSH/G | 153 |
| 3.9 | YDS/PLAY | 7.4 |
| 28.6% | 3RD DOWN | 65.0% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.04 | OFF PPA | 0.43 |
| 44.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 58.0% |
| 59.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 33.9% |
| 0.72 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| 0.69 | DEF PPA | -0.11 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Bobcat StadiumLocationBozeman, MT
Capacity17,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation4,946 ft
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