Central Connecticut at Toledo: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

Central Connecticut VibesCCSU Vibes

NEC · Week 2

RMU @ AKRSat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDT WAG @ JMUSat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDT MERC @ UNMSat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM MDT

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 2 · Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDT3:30 PM EDT

Central ConnecticutCCSU–

ToledoTOL0–1·MAC

StreamingESPN+

CCSU radioCCSU Athletics Radio

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Central Connecticut opens a 33.5-point underdog. Our model gives Central Connecticut a 1% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

TOL 99% CCSU 1%

PROJECTED FINAL

Toledo

Central Connecticut

CCSU win
1% One-score game
5%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge TOL

Market lean TOL

Model projection TOL

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Central Connecticut @ Toledo

Your sims:Sims: CCSU 0, TOL 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Toledo

2026: 0–1 (0–0 MAC)

Lat Michigan State30–20

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADCCSU +33.5TOL −33.5

TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5

MONEYLINECCSU +2500TOL −9000

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 9:06 PM ETNot gambling advice

Central Connecticut vs Toledo Stats ComparisonCCSU vs Toledo Stats Comparison

Central ConnecticutCCSU		ToledoTOL
20	PPG	20
59	PA/G	30
250	YDS/G	273
115	PASS/G	196
135	RUSH/G	77
3.9	YDS/PLAY	6.7
28.6%	3RD DOWN	12.5%
0.04	OFF PPA	0.28
0.69	DEF PPA	0.02
44.8%	OFF SUCCESS	28.6%
59.3%	DEF SUCCESS	37.6%
0.72	EXPLOSIVE	2.35
+1	TO MARGIN	−1
–	RET PROD	66.3%
–	ELO	1568
–	SP+	-9.4
–	FPI	-4.0#83

THE VENUE

Glass Bowl

LocationToledo, OH

Capacity26,038

SurfaceTurf

Opened1937

Elevation595 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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