Davidson @ San Diego, Week 5 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·StreamingESPN+
DAV radioDavidson Athletics Radio
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Davidson a 12% chance.
SeriesSan Diego leads 14–4 · San Diego won the last meeting, 40–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) USD
Home-field edge USD
Model projection USD
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Davidson @ San Diego
Your sims:Sims: DAV 0, USD 0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Davidson vs San Diego Stats ComparisonDavidson vs San Diego Stats Comparison
2026 stats| DavidsonDAV | San DiegoUSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | PPG | 17 |
| 39.5 | PA/G | 49 |
| 297 | YDS/G | 328 |
| 222.5 | PASS/G | 182 |
| 74.5 | RUSH/G | 146 |
| 4 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9 |
| 29.4% | 3RD DOWN | 23.1% |
| 0.25 | DEF PPA | 0.38 |
| 29.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.3% |
| 49.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 51.5% |
| 1.60 | EXPLOSIVE | 0.87 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| -0.06 | OFF PPA | -0.03 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Torero StadiumLocationSan Diego, CA
Capacity6,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1961
Elevation190 ft
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