Dayton @ Butler, Week 7 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·StreamingESPN+
BTLR radioButler Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Butler a 52% chance.
SeriesDayton leads 12–8 · Butler won the last meeting, 23–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) DAY
Home-field edge BTLR
Model projection BTLR
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Dayton @ Butler
Your sims:Sims: BTLR 0, DAY 0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Butler vs Dayton Stats ComparisonButler vs Dayton Stats Comparison
2026 stats| ButlerBTLR | DaytonDAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.5 | PPG | 43 |
| 37 | PA/G | 20 |
| 136.5 | YDS/G | 437 |
| 95 | PASS/G | 186 |
| 41.5 | RUSH/G | 251 |
| 4.5 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2 |
| 46.7% | 3RD DOWN | 27.3% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| 0.11 | OFF PPA | 0.17 |
| 0.55 | DEF PPA | 0.10 |
| 39.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 38.9% |
| 60.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 35.8% |
| 1.11 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Butler BowlLocationIndianapolis, IN
Capacity5,647
SurfaceTurf
Opened1928
Elevation726 ft
FAN NEWS
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