East Tennessee State at North Carolina: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

Chattanooga VibesUTC Vibes

SOCON · Week 2

WOF @ KENTSat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM EDT ETSU @ UNCSat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM EDTACC Network WCU @ CINSat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM EDT

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 2 · Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM EDT12:00 PM EDT

East Tennessee StateETSU–

North CarolinaUNC1–0·ACC

TVACC Network

StreamingACCNX

ETSU radioBuccaneer Sports Network

UNC radioTar Heel Sports Network

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

North Carolina opens a 34.5-point favorite. Our model gives North Carolina a 98% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

UNC 98% ETSU 2%

PROJECTED FINAL

North Carolina

East Tennessee State

UNC win
98% One-score game
5%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge UNC

Market lean UNC

Model projection UNC

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

East Tennessee St @ North Carolina

Your sims:Sims: UNC 0, ETSU 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

North Carolina

2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)

Wvs TCU15–10

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADETSU +34.5UNC −34.5

TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5

MONEYLINEETSU +5000UNC −100000

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

East Tennessee State vs North Carolina Stats ComparisonETSU vs UNC Stats Comparison

East Tennessee StateETSU		North CarolinaUNC
42.5	PPG	15
31.5	PA/G	10
506	YDS/G	322
316	PASS/G	232
190	RUSH/G	90
7.7	YDS/PLAY	5.6
56.5%	3RD DOWN	27.3%
0.38	OFF PPA	0.11
50.4%	OFF SUCCESS	46.6%
38.1%	DEF SUCCESS	33.3%
1.40	EXPLOSIVE	0.92
−3	TO MARGIN	−1
0.22	DEF PPA	-0.05
–	RET PROD	27.8%
–	ELO	1398
–	SP+	5.8
–	FPI	6.3#44

THE VENUE

Kenan Stadium

LocationChapel Hill, NC

Capacity50,500

SurfaceTurf

Opened1927

Elevation419 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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