East Tennessee State @ North Carolina, Week 2 · 2026
ETSU@
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·East Tennessee StateETSU–
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Carolina a 98% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
East Tennessee State
11
UNC win
98% One-score game
5%
98% One-score game
5%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNC
Home-field edge UNC
Model projection UNC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Tennessee St @ North Carolina
Your sims:Sims: UNC 0, ETSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Carolina
North Carolina2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs TCU15–10North Carolina2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Carolina vs East Tennessee State Stats ComparisonUNC vs ETSU Stats Comparison
| North CarolinaUNC | East Tennessee StateETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | PPG | – |
| 10 | PA/G | – |
| 322 | YDS/G | – |
| 232 | PASS/G | – |
| 90 | RUSH/G | – |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 27.3% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.11 | OFF PPA | – |
| -0.05 | DEF PPA | – |
| 46.6% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 33.3% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 27.8% | RET PROD | – |
| 0.92 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| 3.5 | SP+ | – |
| 4.9#42 | FPI | – |
THE VENUE
Kenan StadiumLocationChapel Hill, NC
Capacity50,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1927
Elevation419 ft
FAN NEWS
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