GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Tennessee State a 52% chance.
SeriesEast Tennessee State leads 7–4 · East Tennessee State won the last meeting, 28–26 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ETSU
Home-field edge CIT
Model projection ETSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Tennessee St @ The Citadel
Your sims:Sims: CIT 0, ETSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Tennessee State vs The Citadel Stats ComparisonETSU vs The Citadel Stats Comparison
2026 stats| East Tennessee StateETSU | The CitadelCIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 42.5 | PPG | 28.5 |
| 31.5 | PA/G | 41.5 |
| 506 | YDS/G | 375.5 |
| 316 | PASS/G | 128 |
| 190 | RUSH/G | 247.5 |
| 7.7 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7 |
| 56.5% | 3RD DOWN | 48.1% |
| 0.38 | OFF PPA | 0.18 |
| 0.22 | DEF PPA | 0.29 |
| 50.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 48.2% |
| 38.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 49.6% |
| 1.40 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.09 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Johnson Hagood StadiumLocationCharleston, SC
Capacity11,427
SurfaceGrass
Opened1948
Elevation14 ft
FAN NEWS
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