Florida International @ Florida Atlantic, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+
FAU radioOwl Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida Atlantic a 78% chance.
SeriesFlorida Atlantic leads 16–6 · Florida International won the last meeting, 38–28 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
FAU win
78% One-score game
30%
78% One-score game
30%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FAU
Home-field edge FAU
Model projection FAU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida International @ Florida Atlantic
Your sims:Sims: FAU 0, FIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)
Lvs East Carolina42–3Lvs UConn48–45Lat Tulane35–24Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)Florida International
Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs UTSA57–20Wvs Sam Houston56–16Wvs Jacksonville State27–21Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida Atlantic vs Florida International Stats ComparisonFAU vs FIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Florida AtlanticFAU | Florida InternationalFIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5#49 | PPG | 28.5#61 |
| 36.3#131 | PA/G | 30#105 |
| 445.7#22 | YDS/G | 397#59 |
| 340.5#1 | PASS/G | 215.4#87 |
| 105.2#123 | RUSH/G | 181.6#36 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 36.8%#96 | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.16#78 |
| 0.22#113 | DEF PPA | 0.15#66 |
| 40.3%#98 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.7%#89 |
| 43.7%#99 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#72 |
| 68.4% | RET PROD | 31.6% |
| 1.40#7 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#35 |
| −21#136 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| -6.1 | SP+ | -14.5 |
| -11.3#115 | FPI | -12.6#119 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
FAU StadiumLocationBoca Raton, FL
Capacity29,419
SurfaceTurf
Opened2011
Elevation12 ft
FAN NEWS
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