Georgetown @ Richmond, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgetown a 30% chance.
SeriesRichmond leads 3–0 · Richmond won the last meeting, 31–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: GTWN 0, RICH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Market 16 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $159 traded · as of Sep 9, 9:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgetown vs Richmond Stats ComparisonGeorgetown vs Richmond Stats Comparison
2026 stats| GeorgetownGTWN | RichmondRICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | PPG | 31.5 |
| 45 | PA/G | 17.5 |
| 239 | YDS/G | 346.5 |
| 124 | PASS/G | 230 |
| 115 | RUSH/G | 116.5 |
| 4.3 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4 |
| 25.0% | 3RD DOWN | 39.3% |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.00 | OFF PPA | 0.09 |
| 0.41 | DEF PPA | 0.04 |
| 31.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 37.7% |
| 62.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 26.8% |
| 1.47 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.38 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
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