Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Incarnate Word a 83% chance.
SeriesIncarnate Word leads 11–0 · Incarnate Word won the last meeting, 31–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: UIW 0, HCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Market 28 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $141 traded · as of Sep 9, 8:19 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Incarnate Word vs Houston Christian Stats ComparisonUIW vs HCU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Incarnate WordUIW | Houston ChristianHCU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 18.5 |
| – | PA/G | 29.5 |
| – | YDS/G | 302.5 |
| – | PASS/G | 148 |
| – | RUSH/G | 154.5 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.1 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 44.4% |
| – | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.05 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 32.2% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 47.2% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
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